
W Heath's cartoon How to Get Made and MP (1830)
Back in the early 19th century, one of the major points of agitation for those campaigning for voter reform was the existence of the so-called “rotten boroughs”. These were districts of the country that, in the past, had been important enough to warrant the election of their own Member of Parliament.
However, over the course of time, they had been subjected to relative, and in some cases absolute, decline while other areas that had previously been of little importance had, conversely, grown in population and stature.
Thus, in 1831, Old Sarum in Wiltshire with just three dwellings elected two MPs via the votes of just 11 landowners, none of whom actually lived in the constituency, while the thriving industrial town of Manchester with a population of some 250,000 had no direct representation and was included in the Lancashire constituency which also elected two MPs.
Bristol was somewhere in between, with a population of 120,000, of which some 10,000 were eligible to vote for two MPs – however, a “gentleman’s agreement” between the Whigs and the Tories that each would only put up one serious and one paper candidate usually meant that election results were largely predictable.
These massive discrepancies in the size of electorates meant that that Old Sarum’s 11 voters each had a vote almost 900 times as powerful as that of a Bristolian voter.
The 1832 Reform Act abolished some 50 or so of the worst “rotten boroughs”, and later reforms further reduced the inequalities in voter impact but the problem of trying to ensure that each constituency has a relatively equal number of voters remains.
In 1885, there was a move away from multiple-member parliamentary constituencies and Bristol was divided up into geographically separate constituencies.
Thus the city now has four MPs each representing different areas of the city. One result has been that in an effort to draw boundaries around similar population areas, areas of the city like Stockwood in south Bristol find themselves in the Bristol East ward, whilst Easton is currently in Bristol West, and Lockleaze is in Bristol North West with many people left wondering where Bristol North East is. Bristol West itself is increasingly looking like Bristol Central.
Despite this, there remains quite large discrepancies in the size of the electorates. In December 2011, Bristol West had an electorate of 89,826, some 23% larger than Bristol East’s 72,977.
In an attempt to resolve the discrepancy in size of electorate between Bristol West and Bristol East, Easton, having been transferred to Bristol West in 2010, will be transferred back to Bristol East for 2015, meaning the discrepancy in size will be just 2.5%.
However, the transfer of Easton ward serves to highlight a discrepancy at another level – that of the inequality in size of several of the inner city council wards compared to some wards in the suburbs.
There are 35 council wards in Bristol and the electorate for the mayoral referendum in May 2012 was 318,893 (compared to the December 2011 electorate of 322,659 for a General Election). This gives an average ward electorate of 9,111.
However, as for Parliamentary constituencies, this hides some considerable differences in the relative size of certain wards. The Kingsweston ward has an electorate of just 7,795 – the smallest in the city. The neighbouring ward of Henbury has the second smallest electorate of 8,107. Westbury on Trym, which borders both, is larger but still low at 8,504 and adjacent to Westbury is Henleaze, with the third smallest electorate in the city of 8,117.
Four suburban wards in Bristol North West, all forming a geographically contiguous area with an average electorate of 8,130, returning 8 councillors.
Let’s compare this with the situation in the more inner city wards of Bristol West. Here we find Cabot ward, electorate of 11,477, the largest electorate in the city half as large again as Kingsweston. Adjacent to it is Lawrence Hill, second largest electorate in the city at 10,970. Ashley, which borders both, has the third largest electorate at 10,798, and adjacent to Ashley is Bishopston with the fourth largest electorate at 10,144.
Four inner city wards in Bristol West, all forming a geographically contiguous area with an average electorate of 10,847, a third higher than the average for the Bristol North West wards mentioned above, but returning the same number of councillors.
To put it another way, if the four Bristol West wards were divided into FIVE seperate wards, their average size would be 8,678 – still higher than the average for the four Bristol North West wards.
The Bristol North West wards are not “rotten boroughs” but there is certainly a case to be made that the electorate of Cabot, Lawrence Hill, Ashley and Bishopston are under-represented in the council chamber.
This under-representation will become even more obvious once Easton is transfered back to Bristol East. The result of this will be that each of the three “outer” constituencies – Bristol East, South and North-West will have nine wards within their boundaries, whilst Bristol West will have just eight.
As Bristol moves forward in introducing considerable changes to the way local democracy works in the city, firstly with the election of an Elected Mayor, and secondly with the likely change in the frequency of local elections to either all-out elections every four years, or biennial elections, there is also an opportunity to address the under-representation in the core of the city by creating a new ward.
The creation of a new city centre ward will also allow for some other structural changes to the way the city is governed. At present the Neighbourhood Partnerships (NP) are also unequal in size, with some consisting of just two wards while others are made up of three.
The introduction of a new ward in Bristol West would mean that each of the parliamentary constituencies will have nine wards, and this in turn will lend itself to the reduction of the number of NPs down to 12, each consisting of three wards with a six-person “executive” of councillors able to make devolved decisions.
The next stage would then be to find a way of further increasing and democratising the involvement of local residents in the NP in order to scrutinise the decisions of this “executive” in the same manner that most of those council members who will make up the NP “executives” will themselves be required to scrutinise the Elected Mayor and her/his executive.
The decision to elect a Mayor to govern the city, with the opportunity to make major changes at the top level, should not stop us from simultaneously addressing the need for changes from the bottom up in a manner that allows every citizen equal representation and an equal vote.








I would certainly support the idea of 1 Councillor per ward and all out elections every 4 years, but I think in terms of Neighbourhood Partnerships if anything some of them cover too large an area at the moment. I would aim for 64 single Councillor wards and 16 NPs.
However, there is a danger in trying too hard to achieve the the same electorate in each NP – the word Neighbourhood is important and where possible it should be a Neighbourhood that people feel they belong to and where they are part of the community. If that results in some NPs and therefore some wards having larger electorates than others then so be it. People will only get involved if they feel they belong to their Neighbourhood and as Tony says it is important to get more residents involved. With an elected Mayor and 'the Big Society' I can see the Full Council becoming less important and the NPs becoming more so.
Changing wards might be a political step but certainly the underlying Lower Super Output Areas need to be changed, because in 2001 they had all about 1,800 residents: in 2010 some of them have hardly changed and others have doubled in size (Harbourside and Old Market) http://ias.bristol.gov.uk/IAS/dataviews/report/fu…
So these are not statistically meaningful units any more.
@agreensteam makes a good point about population change.
The population estimates for the wards are even more unequal. The 2010 population estimate for Lawrence Hill is 19,237 compared to 10,210 in Stoke Bishop, almost 90% larger.
However, whereas in Stoke Bishop the ratio of electorate to population in 2010 was over 80% (only Bedminster ward had a higher ratio), Lawrence Hill has the lowest ratio in the city with less than 60%. The city average is just under 74%, and although there may well be some demographic issues at work here, it would appear that if voter registration in places like Lawrence Hill (58%), Easton (66%) and Ashley (67%, was closer to the average the discrepancy in electorate size would be even greater.
If Bedminster can get the highest levels of voter registration in the city, well above areas like Westbury on Trym and Clifton, than surely we can improve it in other wards as well with low ratios of electorate to population?
Re: Rob T – this is an interesting question. Historically the reason for multiple councillors per ward has been that cllrs are part-time, and so you need more than 1 to make sure that someone is available to help. Also, MPs have offices to carry on while they are on holiday, but not a councillor.
However, multi-member electoral areas magnify the disproportionality of FPTP. As does having larger electoral areas. Having 70 smaller wards would produce a more proportional result to the votes cast. It would also make it easy for independent candidates to get elected, as they have a smaller area to win over.
So for people who believe in proportional results (and I do!) it's a balance between getting the best service to constituents and getting a more proportional result that reflects the desire of constituents. Personally I think that a 2-per-ward system with each elected every other 2 years would be best, but I wouldn't be unhappy about a move to 70 wards up every 4 years. I would be less happy about 2-per-ward elected in all-out elections every 4 years.
Good article Tony.
Cabot and Lawrence Hill saw explosive growth in the number of flats during the boom, and as a result Cabot has grown by about 20% in population since I've been a councillor! Also, Ashley and Bishopston have seen wholesale subdivision of properties, which has greatly boosted the population. Meanwhile, in places like Kingsweston there has been hardly any increased density (which actually is a great shame because parts of the suburbs are suffering from a dangerous population decline as families mature and children leave home).
There is clear need for a ward boundary review in Bristol. It might be a bit simplistic to just add an extra ward to Bristol West, as a review would be an opportunity to correct other anomalies across the city that have been identified since the last a decade ago (which created Clifton East).
PS The movement of Easton back into Bristol East may not happen if Tory MPs insist on self-harming by blocking the national boundary review… even though it actually puts the Tories at less of a disadvantage to Labour than they currently are!
What do people think about the idea of having 70 wards rather than 35 with no increase in the number of councillors, but smaller geographical areas for councillors to serve?
More or less democratic?
Completely see the point that there is a huge discrepancy between ward population sizes.
Mr Telford,
Is this what we can expect from you in Ashley if you are elected?
ie Instead of answering the question raised – discrepancy in size of electorates – you completely ignore it, and instead ask a different question?
Based on your response to this, my answer to your question is that I would rather have two councillors per ward because that way if you are one of them at least I will have a chance to get an answer to the question at hand from the other councillor.
Now, how about you responding to the question raised in the article?
Well researched article.
Cabot is not only has the largest population its also the largest in size stretching from Redcliffe to the create centre in the south then harborside, brandon hill all the way up to the kingsdown cotham border. down to stokes croft, the bearpit and broad mead. It contains meany city centre destinations, casle park, brandon hill etc etc yet it gets no special treatment.
As well as the residents there are 60,000 jobs in cabot (hospitals university offices shops),
There is no homogenous community which makes it difficult for the residents to get their voices heard,
Something should be done!!